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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 21 Feb 2026

16:45

Venue

Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gornik Zabrze Win

56%

Gornik Zabrze

1.79

26%

Draw

3.83

18%

Pogon Szczecin

5.56

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

2 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.79

Gornik Zabrze xG

Total xG

2.73

0.94

Pogon Szczecin xG

56%
26%
18%
Gornik ZabrzeDrawPogon Szczecin

1.79

56%

Home win

3.83

26%

Draw

5.56

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

39%

Gornik Zabrze

2.56

17%

Pogon Szczecin

6.01

Win to Nil

22%

Gornik Zabrze

4.58

3%

Pogon Szczecin

33.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 6.1 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 11.7 11.0 5.2 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.5 9.8 4.6 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 6.2 5.9 2.8 0.9 0.2
4 2.8 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.793
λ Away (xG) 0.940
Total xG 2.733
League avg home goals 1.412
League avg away goals 1.149
Gornik Zabrze attack strength 1.101
Gornik Zabrze defence strength 0.970
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 0.844
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 1.153
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55