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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 6 Dec 2025

11:15

Venue

Stadion Miejski w Gdyni

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Arka Gdynia Win

39%

Arka Gdynia

2.55

28%

Draw

3.62

33%

Motor Lublin

3.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

1 – 2

8.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.68

Arka Gdynia xG

Total xG

3.21

1.53

Motor Lublin xG

39%
28%
33%
Arka GdyniaDrawMotor Lublin

2.55

39%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

3.02

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.52

34%

BTTS No

2.93

Clean Sheet

22%

Arka Gdynia

4.62

19%

Motor Lublin

5.34

Win to Nil

8%

Arka Gdynia

11.77

6%

Motor Lublin

16.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 6.2 4.7 2.4 0.9 0.3
1 6.8 10.4 8.0 4.1 1.6 0.5
2 5.7 8.7 6.7 3.4 1.3 0.4
3 3.2 4.9 3.7 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.3 2.0 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.675
λ Away (xG) 1.531
Total xG 3.206
League avg home goals 1.649
League avg away goals 1.229
Arka Gdynia attack strength 0.994
Arka Gdynia defence strength 1.148
Motor Lublin attack strength 1.085
Motor Lublin defence strength 1.021
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 17 / 50