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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sun 19 Apr 2026

16:30

Venue

Stadion Miejski w Gdyni

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Arka Gdynia Win

43%

Arka Gdynia

2.33

28%

Draw

3.55

29%

Jagiellonia

3.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Arka Gdynia xG

Total xG

2.46

1.08

Jagiellonia xG

43%
28%
29%
Arka GdyniaDrawJagiellonia

2.33

43%

Home win

3.55

28%

Draw

3.46

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

34%

Arka Gdynia

2.95

25%

Jagiellonia

3.96

Win to Nil

15%

Arka Gdynia

6.88

7%

Jagiellonia

13.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 9.3 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 11.8 12.7 6.9 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 8.1 8.8 4.8 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 3.7 4.0 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 1.3 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.377
λ Away (xG) 1.083
Total xG 2.460
League avg home goals 1.456
League avg away goals 1.116
Arka Gdynia attack strength 1.053
Arka Gdynia defence strength 1.068
Jagiellonia attack strength 0.908
Jagiellonia defence strength 0.898
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 28 / 62