Over 2.5 Goals Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 2.5 probability — Wednesday 11 May 2022
Over 2.5 goals is the most widely-backed goals market — it needs at least 3 goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 3 total goals, sitting between the safer over 1.5 and higher-risk over 3.5 markets. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.
13 fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 11 May 2022. PSV Eindhoven vs NEC Nijmegen sits top on 71% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 55%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
Eredivisie supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.
Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the over 2.5 goals market — 54%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Premier League · England
Ligue 1 · France
La Liga · Spain
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Premier League · England
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Showing top 13 fixtures by over 2.5 goals probability (≥ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Over 2.5 Goals — common questions
What does the Over 2.5 Goals market mean?
Over 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate over 2.5 goals probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 3 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Over 2.5 Goals on Wednesday 11 May 2022?
13 fixtures met the criteria, led by PSV Eindhoven vs NEC Nijmegen at 71% over 2.5 probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 55% or higher over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these over 2.5 goals predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.