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Over 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 2.5 probability β€” Sunday 8 August 2021

Over 2.5 goals is the most widely-backed goals market β€” it needs at least 3 goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 3 total goals, sitting between the safer over 1.5 and higher-risk over 3.5 markets. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

Ten matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 8 August 2021. Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Vienna led the list at 76% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 76% down to 55%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Super League supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the over 2.5 goals market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
1 : 0 FT
Austria Vienna
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 71%
#2 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
5 : 1 FT
Servette FC
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 21%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#3 Super League Β· China
Guangzhou R&F
1 : 3 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 20%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#4 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Luzern
1 : 3 FT
FC Zurich
Win 25%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#5 Super League Β· China
Chongqing Lifan
1 : 5 FT
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
Win 27%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
5 : 4 FT
Haugesund
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 21%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
3 : 0 FT
Degerfors IF
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#8 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Goteborg
0 : 0 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 60%
#9 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Pardubice
1 : 1 FT
Mlada Boleslav
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#10 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Wisla Krakow
1 : 2 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 10 fixtures by over 2.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 2.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 2.5 Goals market mean?

Over 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 3 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 2.5 Goals on Sunday 8 August 2021?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Vienna at 76% over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.