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Over 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 2.5 probability — Monday 24 May 2021

Over 2.5 goals is the most widely-backed goals market — it needs at least 3 goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 3 total goals, sitting between the safer over 1.5 and higher-risk over 3.5 markets. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

15 matches cleared our threshold on Monday 24 May 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Rosenborg vs Molde at 77% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 77% down to 57%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eliteserien supplies ten of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the over 2.5 goals market — 62%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien · Norway
Rosenborg
2 : 3 FT
Molde
Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#2 Eliteserien · Norway
Molde
– : – CANC
Viking
Win 80%
Draw 14%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 72%
#3 Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso
1 : 3 FT
Sandefjord
Win 35%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#4 Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso
– : – CANC
Kristiansund BK
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 67%
#5 Eliteserien · Norway
Lillestrom
1 : 3 FT
Viking
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#6 Eliteserien · Norway
Stabaek
– : – CANC
Stromsgodset
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 65%
#7 Eliteserien · Norway
Sandefjord
– : – CANC
Brann
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 65%
#8 Eliteserien · Norway
Mjondalen
– : – CANC
ODD Ballklubb
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 64%
#9 Eliteserien · Norway
Haugesund
0 : 0 FT
Stabaek
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 64%
#10 Eliteserien · Norway
ODD Ballklubb
1 : 1 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#11 Eliteserien · Norway
Kristiansund BK
1 : 0 FT
Stromsgodset
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 63%
#12 Eliteserien · Norway
Haugesund
– : – CANC
Valerenga
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
#13 Eliteserien · Norway
Brann
1 : 2 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 20%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians
5 : 1 FT
Dundalk
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#15 Eliteserien · Norway
Lillestrom
– : – CANC
Rosenborg
Win 20%
Draw 27%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 15 fixtures by over 2.5 goals probability (≥ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 2.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Over 2.5 Goals market mean?

Over 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 3 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 2.5 Goals on Monday 24 May 2021?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Rosenborg vs Molde at 77% over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.