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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Wednesday 7 April 2027

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

The model shortlists four fixtures on Wednesday 7 April 2027. Sheffield Utd vs Blackburn sits top on 80% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 80% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Championship supplies four of the top 4, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
Sheffield Utd
: 18:45
Blackburn
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Championship Β· England
Birmingham
: 19:00
Norwich
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Championship Β· England
Preston
: 18:45
Watford
Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Championship Β· England
West Brom
: 18:45
Derby
Win 44%
Draw 33%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 4 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Wednesday 7 April 2027?

four fixtures met the criteria, led by Sheffield Utd vs Blackburn at 80% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.