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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Monday 25 May 2026

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

The model shortlists eleven fixtures on Monday 25 May 2026. IFK Norrkoping vs Osters IF led the list at 90% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 70%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eliteserien supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the over 1.5 goals market — 91%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Superettan Β· Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
2 : 0 FT
Osters IF
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 20%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 73%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Paderborn 07
2 : 1 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Win 38%
Draw 23%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Tromso
1 : 1 FT
Aalesund
Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Goteborg
1 : 1 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 22%
Draw 24%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Start
2 : 0 FT
Valerenga
Win 34%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
0 : 0 FT
Shelbourne
Win 30%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#7 League Two Β· England
Notts County
3 : 0 FT
Salford City
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 54%
#8 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
1 : 1 FT
BK Hacken
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#9 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sandefjord
1 : 1 FT
Fredrikstad
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#10 Serie A Β· Brazil
Coritiba
3 : 2 FT
Bahia
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 56%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Rapid Vienna
3 : 0 FT
Ried
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 11 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Monday 25 May 2026?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by IFK Norrkoping vs Osters IF at 90% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.