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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Thursday 16 January 2025

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Six matches cleared our threshold on Thursday 16 January 2025. Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Fateh led the list at 86% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 70%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Pro League supplies three of the top 6, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the over 1.5 goals market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
9 : 0 FT
Al-Fateh
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
4 : 1 FT
Al-Raed
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Uthai Thani
0 : 2 FT
Bangkok United
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 62%
#4 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Muangthong United
4 : 0 FT
Rayong FC
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#5 Premier League Β· England
Ipswich
0 : 2 FT
Brighton
Win 22%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 50%
BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
1 : 2 FT
Al-Fayha
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 6 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Thursday 16 January 2025?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Fateh at 86% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.