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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Wednesday 26 June 2024

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Nine fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 26 June 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Beijing Guoan vs Shijiazhuang Y. J. at 94% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 71%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

K League 1 supplies four of the top 9, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the over 1.5 goals market — 78%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Beijing Guoan
4 : 0 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 15%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 71%
#2 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
FC Seoul
2 : 0 FT
Gangwon FC
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
#3 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors
1 : 1 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 26%
Draw 22%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#4 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
1 : 0 FT
Daegu FC
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 54%
#5 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Jeju United FC
1 : 0 FT
Incheon United
Win 35%
Draw 24%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
#6 Super League Β· China
Qingdao Jonoon
1 : 5 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 30%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Super League Β· China
Shanghai Shenhua
3 : 0 FT
Meizhou Kejia
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#8 Serie A Β· Brazil
Botafogo
2 : 1 FT
RB Bragantino
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 56%
#9 Serie A Β· Brazil
Cruzeiro
2 : 0 FT
Atletico Paranaense
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 9 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Wednesday 26 June 2024?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Beijing Guoan vs Shijiazhuang Y. J. at 94% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.