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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Thursday 25 May 2023

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Eight fixtures cleared the bar on Thursday 25 May 2023. Servette FC vs FC Basel 1893 sits top on 82% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 72%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Super League supplies five of the top 8, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the over 1.5 goals market — 88%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· Switzerland
Servette FC
3 : 3 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#2 Super League Β· Switzerland
Grasshoppers
2 : 2 FT
FC ST. Gallen
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Sion
1 : 2 FT
FC Luzern
Win 21%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#4 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Lviv
0 : 1 FT
Chornomorets
Win 19%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 60%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Degerfors IF
2 : 2 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Lugano
2 : 0 FT
BSC Young Boys
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 56%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain
Osasuna
2 : 0 FT
Athletic Club
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Winterthur
0 : 2 FT
FC Zurich
Win 23%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 8 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Thursday 25 May 2023?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Servette FC vs FC Basel 1893 at 82% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.