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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 26 June 2022

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

19 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 26 June 2022. Stromsgodset vs Lillestrom sits top on 90% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 70%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eliteserien supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the over 1.5 goals market — 79%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stromsgodset
3 : 0 FT
Lillestrom
Win 32%
Draw 21%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 74%
#2 Superettan Β· Sweden
Utsikten
1 : 0 FT
IK brage
Win 31%
Draw 25%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 67%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Ham-Kam
3 : 2 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 23%
Draw 22%
Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil
Sao Paulo
0 : 0 FT
Juventude
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 57%
#5 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Degerfors IF
1 : 1 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 26%
Draw 22%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#6 Super League Β· China
Wuhan Three Towns
5 : 0 FT
Hebei Zhongji
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico-MG
3 : 2 FT
Fortaleza EC
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sandefjord
2 : 2 FT
Tromso
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#9 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
2 : 0 FT
Aalesund
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
#10 Superettan Β· Sweden
Dalkurd FF
3 : 2 FT
AFC Eskilstuna
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#11 Super League Β· China
Chengdu Better City
2 : 2 FT
Shenzhen Ruby FC
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#12 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Hammarby FF
2 : 2 FT
BK Hacken
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Super League Β· China
Shanghai Shenhua
2 : 1 FT
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 20%
Win 8%
BTTS No 58% Shanghai Shenhua Clean Sheet 54%
#14 Superettan Β· Sweden
Skövde AIK
0 : 2 FT
Vasteras SK FK
Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 56%
#15 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
1 : 1 FT
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#16 Serie A Β· Brazil
Avai
2 : 2 FT
Palmeiras
Win 18%
Draw 26%
Win 56%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
#17 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
0 : 0 FT
Seongnam FC
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#18 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
York United
1 : 3 FT
Valour
Win 36%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 55%
#19 Serie A Β· Brazil
Goias
1 : 0 FT
Cuiaba
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 19 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 26 June 2022?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Stromsgodset vs Lillestrom at 90% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.