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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 29 May 2022

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 29 May 2022. Al Taee vs Al-Ittihad FC led the list at 89% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 71%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the over 1.5 goals market — 89%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taee
1 : 0 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 28%
Draw 20%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 71%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
3 : 1 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 36%
Draw 23%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#3 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Pacific FC
2 : 2 FT
Valour
Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Ligue 1 Β· France
Saint Etienne
1 : 1 FT
Auxerre
Win 29%
Draw 24%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Tromso
2 : 2 FT
Lillestrom
Win 26%
Draw 24%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Luzern
2 : 0 FT
FC Schaffhausen
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
#7 Superettan Β· Sweden
Orebro SK
0 : 2 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Mariehamn
1 : 3 FT
VPS
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Rapid Vienna
2 : 0 FT
WSG Wattens
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 : 0 FT
Abha
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 53%
#11 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Djurgardens IF
4 : 0 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#12 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
6 : 1 FT
Vitesse
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Haugesund
2 : 2 FT
Aalesund
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#14 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
2 : 2 FT
IF Elfsborg
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#15 Eliteserien Β· Norway
jerv
0 : 5 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 24%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 50%
BTTS Yes 53%
#16 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Helsingborg
1 : 2 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 25%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 50%
#17 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico-MG
2 : 1 FT
Avai
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
BTTS No 57%
#18 Serie A Β· Brazil
Coritiba
1 : 0 FT
Botafogo
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#19 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Gent
– : – CANC
Antwerp
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 54%
#20 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Damac
0 : 3 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 29 May 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al Taee vs Al-Ittihad FC at 89% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.