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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 27 May 2022

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Four fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 27 May 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Bohemians vs Drogheda United at 83% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 83% down to 71%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier Division supplies three of the top 4, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the four fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the over 1.5 goals market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
1 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
2 : 2 FT
Finn Harps
Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Raed
0 : 2 FT
Al Shabab
Win 29%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 46%
BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Premier Division Β· Ireland
UCD
1 : 1 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 20%
Draw 25%
Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 4 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 27 May 2022?

four fixtures met the criteria, led by Bohemians vs Drogheda United at 83% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.