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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Monday 9 May 2022

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Nine fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 9 May 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Antalyaspor vs Konyaspor at 85% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 70%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the over 1.5 goals market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Antalyaspor
3 : 2 FT
Konyaspor
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
0 : 0 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 55%
#3 League One Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
1 : 1 FT
Sunderland
Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
2 : 0 FT
AS Roma
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Górnik Łęczna
1 : 1 FT
Nieciecza
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#6 Primera División Β· Chile
Cobresal
0 : 0 FT
Everton de Vina
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#7 Superettan Β· Sweden
Skövde AIK
1 : 3 FT
Halmstad
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 54%
#8 Superettan Β· Sweden
Orebro SK
1 : 0 FT
Ostersunds FK
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#9 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 1 FT
Sligo Rovers
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 58%

Showing top 9 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Monday 9 May 2022?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Antalyaspor vs Konyaspor at 85% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.