Sign in Register
⚑

Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Monday 13 December 2021

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Eleven matches cleared our threshold on Monday 13 December 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Guangzhou R&F vs Changchun Yatai at 84% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 71%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the over 1.5 goals market — 82%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Guangzhou R&F
0 : 2 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 34%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 39%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 65%
#2 Super League Β· China
Beijing Guoan
1 : 0 FT
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Premier League Β· Russia
FC Sochi
3 : 0 FT
Spartak Moscow
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Arouca
1 : 4 FT
Vizela
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Ligue 2 Β· France
Toulouse
1 : 1 FT
Rodez
Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Gaziantep FK
3 : 2 FT
Fenerbahçe
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy
AS Roma
2 : 0 FT
Spezia
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#8 Super League Β· China
Hebei Zhongji
0 : 5 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 28%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 40%
Under 2.5 56%
#9 Super League Β· China
Shenzhen Ruby FC
1 : 3 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 30%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 38%
Under 2.5 57%
#10 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Warta Poznań
2 : 1 FT
Slask Wroclaw
Win 21%
Draw 25%
Win 55%
Under 2.5 54%
#11 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Sivasspor
1 : 0 FT
Galatasaray
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 11 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Monday 13 December 2021?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Guangzhou R&F vs Changchun Yatai at 84% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.