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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 11 July 2021

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Seven fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 11 July 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Molde vs ODD Ballklubb at 85% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 71%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the over 1.5 goals market — 71%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
5 : 0 FT
ODD Ballklubb
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Valerenga
2 : 2 FT
Lillestrom
Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
2 : 1 FT
Orebro SK
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Haka
0 : 1 FT
KuPS
Win 20%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 56%
#5 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Hammarby FF
5 : 1 FT
Degerfors IF
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 55%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil
Flamengo
2 : 1 FT
Chapecoense-sc
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 53%
#7 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Honka
1 : 0 FT
AC Oulu
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 7 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 11 July 2021?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Molde vs ODD Ballklubb at 85% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.