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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 25 April 2021

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Twelve matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 25 April 2021. Kristiansund BK vs Stromsgodset led the list at 86% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 71%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eliteserien supplies six of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the over 1.5 goals market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Kristiansund BK
– : – CANC
Stromsgodset
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 67%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Haugesund
– : – CANC
ODD Ballklubb
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
– : – CANC
Molde
Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Valerenga
– : – CANC
Bodo/Glimt
Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
#5 Primera División Β· Chile
Santiago Wanderers
1 : 2 FT
Nublense
Win 33%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Mjondalen
– : – CANC
Viking
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Tromso
– : – CANC
Sandefjord
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 60%
#8 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
1 : 3 FT
Djurgardens IF
Win 28%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
AIK Stockholm
2 : 0 FT
Hammarby FF
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
5 : 0 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
#11 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Malmo FF
1 : 1 FT
Ostersunds FK
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#12 Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig
2 : 0 FT
VfB Stuttgart
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 12 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 25 April 2021?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Kristiansund BK vs Stromsgodset at 86% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.