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One-Sided Predictions

Biggest mismatches ranked by dominant win probability β€” Saturday 22 May 2027

These are the day's biggest mismatches β€” fixtures where the prediction model gives one team a 60%+ win probability. Useful for finding confident accumulator legs, handicap markets, and Asian lines. The favourite can be the home or away side β€” the model ranks purely on statistical dominance, not venue.

The model shortlists ten fixtures on Saturday 22 May 2027. RB Leipzig vs 1899 Hoffenheim sits top on 85% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 60%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Jupiler Pro League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig
– : – 13:30
1899 Hoffenheim
Win 85%
Draw 10%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 78%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayern München
– : – 13:30
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 84%
Draw 9%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 90% BTTS Yes 71%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France
Estac Troyes
– : – 15:00
Paris Saint Germain
Win 9%
Draw 16%
Win 75%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Premier League Β· Russia
CSKA Moscow
– : – 15:00
Dinamo Makhachkala
Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lech Poznan
– : – 16:00
Motor Lublin
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 66%
#6 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge KV
– : – 15:00
Zulte Waregem
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 56%
#7 Ligue 2 Β· France
Dijon
– : – 18:00
Montpellier
Win 16%
Draw 19%
Win 65%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Kortrijk
– : – 15:00
St. Truiden
Win 18%
Draw 17%
Win 65%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 68%
#9 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lens
– : – 15:00
Rennes
Win 63%
Draw 18%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 76%
#10 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
– : – 15:00
Charleroi
Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 55%

Showing top 10 fixtures where one team has 60%+ win probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

One-Sided β€” common questions

What does the One-Sided market mean?

One-Sided settles on whether a match has a clear statistical favourite. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate one-sided probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The favourite's win probability shown here is the stronger of the two win probabilities, regardless of which side is at home. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for One-Sided on Saturday 22 May 2027?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by RB Leipzig vs 1899 Hoffenheim at 85% favourite's win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 60% or higher win probability for one side, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these one-sided predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.