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One-Sided Predictions

Biggest mismatches ranked by dominant win probability β€” Sunday 24 January 2027

These are the day's biggest mismatches β€” fixtures where the prediction model gives one team a 60%+ win probability. Useful for finding confident accumulator legs, handicap markets, and Asian lines. The favourite can be the home or away side β€” the model ranks purely on statistical dominance, not venue.

14 fixtures clear the bar on Sunday 24 January 2027. The strongest reading belongs to Fenerbahçe vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. at 78% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 61%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fenerbahçe
– : – 12:00
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Win 78%
Draw 13%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy
Inter
– : – 17:30
Venezia
Win 76%
Draw 15%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 67%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto
– : – 16:00
Rio Ave
Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 58%
#4 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Holstein Kiel
– : – 12:30
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#5 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Arminia Bielefeld
– : – 12:30
Karlsruher SC
Win 72%
Draw 16%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 61%
#6 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen
– : – 13:30
Willem II
Win 70%
Draw 15%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 68%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy
Monza
– : – 17:30
Lazio
Win 15%
Draw 16%
Win 69%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 66%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
– : – 16:00
Real Betis
Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 60%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Trabzonspor
– : – 12:00
Kasımpaşa
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
BTTS No 55%
#10 La Liga Β· Spain
Athletic Club
– : – 16:00
Levante
Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
BTTS No 56%
#11 La Liga Β· Spain
Getafe
– : – 16:00
Osasuna
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy
AS Roma
– : – 17:30
Udinese
Win 63%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 63%
#13 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Lugano
– : – 15:30
FC Sion
Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 64%
#14 La Liga Β· Spain
Alaves
– : – 16:00
Barcelona
Win 19%
Draw 20%
Win 61%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 69%

Showing top 14 fixtures where one team has 60%+ win probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

One-Sided β€” common questions

What does the One-Sided market mean?

One-Sided settles on whether a match has a clear statistical favourite. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate one-sided probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The favourite's win probability shown here is the stronger of the two win probabilities, regardless of which side is at home. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for One-Sided on Sunday 24 January 2027?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Fenerbahçe vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. at 78% favourite's win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 60% or higher win probability for one side, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these one-sided predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.