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One-Sided Predictions

Biggest mismatches ranked by dominant win probability β€” Sunday 13 December 2026

These are the day's biggest mismatches β€” fixtures where the prediction model gives one team a 60%+ win probability. Useful for finding confident accumulator legs, handicap markets, and Asian lines. The favourite can be the home or away side β€” the model ranks purely on statistical dominance, not venue.

Eleven matches clear our threshold on Sunday 13 December 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Rosenborg vs KFUM Oslo at 81% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 81% down to 60%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eliteserien supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
: 16:00
KFUM Oslo
Win 81%
Draw 13%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 71%
#2 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KV Mechelen
: 17:30
Union St. Gilloise
Win 11%
Draw 14%
Win 75%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 63%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
: 16:00
Osasuna
Win 74%
Draw 14%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 65%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking
: 16:00
Ham-Kam
Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
: 16:00
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 61%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Lask Linz
: 16:00
Austria Vienna
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
: 13:30
Wolfsberger AC
Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 58%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain
Malaga
: 16:00
Barcelona
Win 13%
Draw 20%
Win 67%
BTTS No 54%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Betis
: 16:00
Racing Santander
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
BTTS No 55%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy
Inter
: 17:30
Torino
Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 64%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy
Juventus
: 17:30
Monza
Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 17%

Showing top 11 fixtures where one team has 60%+ win probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

One-Sided β€” common questions

What does the One-Sided market mean?

One-Sided settles on whether a match has a clear statistical favourite. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate one-sided probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The favourite's win probability shown here is the stronger of the two win probabilities, regardless of which side is at home. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for One-Sided on Sunday 13 December 2026?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Rosenborg vs KFUM Oslo at 81% favourite's win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 60% or higher win probability for one side, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these one-sided predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.