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One-Sided Predictions

Biggest mismatches ranked by dominant win probability β€” Sunday 7 November 2021

These are the day's biggest mismatches β€” fixtures where the prediction model gives one team a 60%+ win probability. Useful for finding confident accumulator legs, handicap markets, and Asian lines. The favourite can be the home or away side β€” the model ranks purely on statistical dominance, not venue.

14 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 7 November 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Ajax vs GO Ahead Eagles at 91% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 60%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Allsvenskan supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the one-sided market — 64%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Ajax
0 : 0 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
Win 91%
Draw 6%
Win 3%
Over 2.5 83%
#2 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
0 : 1 FT
FC ST. Gallen
Win 78%
Draw 15%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
AIK Stockholm
3 : 0 FT
Ostersunds FK
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ AIK Stockholm Clean Sheet 57%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
3 : 1 FT
Sandefjord
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Hammarby FF
3 : 2 FT
Orebro SK
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 64%
#6 Premier League Β· England
West Ham
3 : 2 FT
Liverpool
Win 14%
Draw 17%
Win 69%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
4 : 2 FT
Teplice
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
BTTS No 56%
#8 Primera División Β· Chile
U. Catolica
1 : 0 FT
Universidad de Chile
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 58%
#9 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
BK Hacken
2 : 0 FT
Degerfors IF
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 63%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy
Lazio
3 : 0 FT
Salernitana
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 62%
#11 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
1 : 3 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 10%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 65%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 66% Shakhtar Donetsk Clean Sheet 59%
#12 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
2 : 0 FT
Longford Town
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#13 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Karviná
2 : 2 FT
Slovácko
Win 19%
Draw 21%
Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Ligue 1 Β· France
Marseille
0 : 0 FT
Metz
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 14 fixtures where one team has 60%+ win probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

One-Sided β€” common questions

What does the One-Sided market mean?

One-Sided settles on whether a match has a clear statistical favourite. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate one-sided probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The favourite's win probability shown here is the stronger of the two win probabilities, regardless of which side is at home. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for One-Sided on Sunday 7 November 2021?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ajax vs GO Ahead Eagles at 91% favourite's win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 60% or higher win probability for one side, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these one-sided predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.