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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sun 13 Apr 2025

15:45

Venue

Koning Willem II Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ajax Win

10%

Willem II

9.69

20%

Draw

4.89

69%

Ajax

1.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 2

14.3%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 1

14.2%

Away win

0 – 3

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.64

Willem II xG

Total xG

2.65

2.01

Ajax xG

20%
69%
Willem IIDrawAjax

9.69

10%

Home win

4.89

20%

Draw

1.44

69%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.42

59%

BTTS No

1.70

Clean Sheet

13%

Willem II

7.46

53%

Ajax

1.89

Win to Nil

1%

Willem II

72.32

37%

Ajax

2.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 14.2 14.3 9.6 4.8 1.9
1 4.5 9.1 9.1 6.1 3.1 1.2
2 1.4 2.9 2.9 2.0 1.0 0.4
3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
4 0.1 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.639
λ Away (xG) 2.010
Total xG 2.649
League avg home goals 1.602
League avg away goals 1.302
Willem II attack strength 0.729
Willem II defence strength 1.334
Ajax attack strength 1.157
Ajax defence strength 0.547
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 28 / 62