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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 26 Jan 2025

13:30

Venue

Mandemakers Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Waalwijk Win

43%

Waalwijk

2.32

23%

Draw

4.27

34%

Willem II

2.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

1 – 2

7.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.70

Waalwijk xG

Total xG

3.17

1.47

Willem II xG

43%
23%
34%
WaalwijkDrawWillem II

2.32

43%

Home win

4.27

23%

Draw

2.98

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.69

Clean Sheet

23%

Waalwijk

4.36

18%

Willem II

5.45

Win to Nil

10%

Waalwijk

10.12

6%

Willem II

16.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 6.2 4.6 2.2 0.8 0.2
1 7.1 10.5 7.7 3.8 1.4 0.4
2 6.1 8.9 6.6 3.2 1.2 0.3
3 3.4 5.0 3.7 1.8 0.7 0.2
4 1.4 2.1 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.695
λ Away (xG) 1.472
Total xG 3.167
League avg home goals 1.667
League avg away goals 1.337
Waalwijk attack strength 0.841
Waalwijk defence strength 1.235
Willem II attack strength 0.891
Willem II defence strength 1.209
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 19