Waalwijk vs Fortuna Sittard – Predictions
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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Waalwijk Win
53%
1.88
22%
4.60
25%
4.01
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
9.5%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.5%
Home win
2 – 0
7.2%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.02
Waalwijk xG
Total xG
3.34
1.33
Fortuna Sittard xG
WaalwijkDrawFortuna Sittard
1.88
53%
Home win
4.60
22%
Draw
4.01
25%
Away win
Goals Markets
85%
Over 1.5
1.18
15%
Under 1.5
6.67
65%
Over 2.5
1.54
35%
Under 2.5
2.86
43%
Over 3.5
2.33
57%
Under 3.5
1.75
24%
Over 4.5
4.17
76%
Under 4.5
1.32
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
64%
BTTS Yes
1.57
36%
BTTS No
2.76
Clean Sheet
27%
3.77
13%
7.50
Win to Nil
14%
7.06
3%
30.06
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.5 | 4.7 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 7.1 | 9.5 | 6.3 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.2 | 9.5 | 6.3 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.8 | 6.4 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.015
λ Away (xG)
1.326
Total xG
3.341
League avg home goals
1.661
League avg away goals
1.315
Waalwijk attack strength
1.103
Waalwijk defence strength
1.011
Fortuna Sittard attack strength
0.998
Fortuna Sittard defence strength
1.100
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
57 / 57