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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 1 Mar 2025

15:30

Venue

Stadion Galgenwaard

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Utrecht Win

51%

Utrecht

1.96

22%

Draw

4.48

27%

NAC Breda

3.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

7.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.93

Utrecht xG

Total xG

3.28

1.35

NAC Breda xG

51%
22%
27%
UtrechtDrawNAC Breda

1.96

51%

Home win

4.48

22%

Draw

3.76

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.73

Clean Sheet

26%

Utrecht

3.84

15%

NAC Breda

6.89

Win to Nil

13%

Utrecht

7.53

4%

NAC Breda

25.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 5.1 3.4 1.5 0.5 0.1
1 7.3 9.8 6.6 3.0 1.0 0.3
2 7.0 9.5 6.4 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 4.5 6.1 4.1 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 2.2 2.9 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.930
λ Away (xG) 1.346
Total xG 3.276
League avg home goals 1.653
League avg away goals 1.321
Utrecht attack strength 0.876
Utrecht defence strength 1.262
NAC Breda attack strength 0.807
NAC Breda defence strength 1.333
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 23