Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Tue 17 Feb 2026

19:00

Venue

Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

NEC Nijmegen Win

32%

Sparta Rotterdam

3.13

22%

Draw

4.50

46%

NEC Nijmegen

2.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

2 – 1

7.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

Sparta Rotterdam xG

Total xG

3.43

1.88

NEC Nijmegen xG

32%
22%
46%
Sparta RotterdamDrawNEC Nijmegen

3.13

32%

Home win

4.50

22%

Draw

2.18

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.50

33%

BTTS No

3.00

Clean Sheet

15%

Sparta Rotterdam

6.57

21%

NEC Nijmegen

4.69

Win to Nil

5%

Sparta Rotterdam

20.57

10%

NEC Nijmegen

10.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 6.1 5.8 3.6 1.7 0.6
1 5.0 9.4 8.9 5.6 2.6 1.0
2 3.9 7.3 6.9 4.3 2.0 0.8
3 2.0 3.8 3.5 2.2 1.0 0.4
4 0.8 1.5 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.545
λ Away (xG) 1.882
Total xG 3.427
League avg home goals 1.636
League avg away goals 1.430
Sparta Rotterdam attack strength 0.844
Sparta Rotterdam defence strength 0.931
NEC Nijmegen attack strength 1.414
NEC Nijmegen defence strength 1.119
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56