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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
PSV Eindhoven Win
85%
1.17
9%
10.87
5%
18.48
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
3 – 0
9.0%
Home win
Most likely
3 – 1
7.9%
Home win
4 – 0
7.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
3.52
PSV Eindhoven xG
Total xG
4.39
0.88
Willem II xG
PSV EindhovenDrawWillem II
1.17
85%
Home win
10.87
9%
Draw
18.48
5%
Away win
Goals Markets
93%
Over 1.5
1.08
7%
Under 1.5
14.29
81%
Over 2.5
1.23
19%
Under 2.5
5.26
64%
Over 3.5
1.56
36%
Under 3.5
2.78
45%
Over 4.5
2.22
55%
Under 4.5
1.82
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
57%
BTTS Yes
1.77
43%
BTTS No
2.30
Clean Sheet
42%
2.40
3%
33.68
Win to Nil
36%
2.81
0%
–
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 1 | 4.3 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 7.6 | 6.7 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 9.0 | 7.9 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 7.9 | 6.9 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 5.5 | 4.9 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
3.517
λ Away (xG)
0.876
Total xG
4.393
League avg home goals
1.683
League avg away goals
1.389
PSV Eindhoven attack strength
1.723
PSV Eindhoven defence strength
0.835
Willem II attack strength
0.755
Willem II defence strength
1.212
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
55 / 21