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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 21 Feb 2026

17:45

Venue

Philips Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PSV Eindhoven Win

63%

PSV Eindhoven

1.58

17%

Draw

5.96

20%

Heerenveen

5.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

7.6%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

7.2%

Home win

2 – 2

6.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.84

PSV Eindhoven xG

Total xG

4.44

1.60

Heerenveen xG

63%
17%
20%
PSV EindhovenDrawHeerenveen

1.58

63%

Home win

5.96

17%

Draw

5.03

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

94%

Over 1.5

1.06

6%

Under 1.5

16.67

82%

Over 2.5

1.22

18%

Under 2.5

5.56

65%

Over 3.5

1.54

35%

Under 3.5

2.86

46%

Over 4.5

2.17

54%

Under 4.5

1.85

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

75%

BTTS Yes

1.33

25%

BTTS No

4.02

Clean Sheet

20%

PSV Eindhoven

4.96

6%

Heerenveen

17.06

Win to Nil

13%

PSV Eindhoven

7.83

1%

Heerenveen

85.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.2 1.9 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
1 3.4 5.4 4.3 2.3 0.9 0.3
2 4.8 7.6 6.1 3.3 1.3 0.4
3 4.5 7.2 5.8 3.1 1.2 0.4
4 3.2 5.1 4.1 2.2 0.9 0.3
5 1.8 2.9 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.837
λ Away (xG) 1.601
Total xG 4.438
League avg home goals 1.634
League avg away goals 1.420
PSV Eindhoven attack strength 1.581
PSV Eindhoven defence strength 1.020
Heerenveen attack strength 1.105
Heerenveen defence strength 1.098
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57