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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 22 Mar 2026

11:15

Venue

Goffertstadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

NEC Nijmegen Win

49%

NEC Nijmegen

2.05

22%

Draw

4.58

29%

Heerenveen

3.40

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.3%

Draw

2 – 2

7.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.23

NEC Nijmegen xG

Total xG

3.96

1.73

Heerenveen xG

49%
22%
29%
NEC NijmegenDrawHeerenveen

2.05

49%

Home win

4.58

22%

Draw

3.40

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

91%

Over 1.5

1.10

9%

Under 1.5

11.11

76%

Over 2.5

1.32

24%

Under 2.5

4.17

56%

Over 3.5

1.79

44%

Under 3.5

2.27

36%

Over 4.5

2.78

64%

Under 4.5

1.56

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

74%

BTTS Yes

1.35

26%

BTTS No

3.89

Clean Sheet

18%

NEC Nijmegen

5.64

11%

Heerenveen

9.34

Win to Nil

9%

NEC Nijmegen

11.57

3%

Heerenveen

31.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.9 3.3 2.8 1.6 0.7 0.2
1 4.2 7.3 6.3 3.7 1.6 0.5
2 4.7 8.2 7.1 4.1 1.8 0.6
3 3.5 6.1 5.3 3.0 1.3 0.5
4 2.0 3.4 2.9 1.7 0.7 0.3
5 0.9 1.5 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.234
λ Away (xG) 1.730
Total xG 3.964
League avg home goals 1.697
League avg away goals 1.354
NEC Nijmegen attack strength 1.231
NEC Nijmegen defence strength 1.159
Heerenveen attack strength 1.102
Heerenveen defence strength 1.069
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61