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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 28 Feb 2026

20:00

Venue

Goffertstadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

NEC Nijmegen Win

60%

NEC Nijmegen

1.68

19%

Draw

5.24

21%

Fortuna Sittard

4.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.4%

Draw

3 – 1

7.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.42

NEC Nijmegen xG

Total xG

3.84

1.42

Fortuna Sittard xG

60%
19%
21%
NEC NijmegenDrawFortuna Sittard

1.68

60%

Home win

5.24

19%

Draw

4.68

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

90%

Over 1.5

1.11

10%

Under 1.5

10.00

74%

Over 2.5

1.35

26%

Under 2.5

3.85

54%

Over 3.5

1.85

46%

Under 3.5

2.17

34%

Over 4.5

2.94

66%

Under 4.5

1.52

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

69%

BTTS Yes

1.44

31%

BTTS No

3.25

Clean Sheet

24%

NEC Nijmegen

4.14

9%

Fortuna Sittard

11.29

Win to Nil

14%

NEC Nijmegen

6.96

2%

Fortuna Sittard

52.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.1 3.0 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.1
1 5.2 7.4 5.2 2.5 0.9 0.3
2 6.3 8.9 6.3 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 5.1 7.2 5.1 2.4 0.9 0.2
4 3.1 4.4 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 1.5 2.1 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.424
λ Away (xG) 1.421
Total xG 3.845
League avg home goals 1.660
League avg away goals 1.368
NEC Nijmegen attack strength 1.221
NEC Nijmegen defence strength 1.105
Fortuna Sittard attack strength 0.940
Fortuna Sittard defence strength 1.196
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58