Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sun 18 May 2025

13:30

Venue

Rat Verlegh Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

NAC Breda Win

44%

NAC Breda

2.29

31%

Draw

3.22

25%

Willem II

3.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

10.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

NAC Breda xG

Total xG

2.27

0.95

Willem II xG

44%
31%
25%
NAC BredaDrawWillem II

2.29

44%

Home win

3.22

31%

Draw

3.96

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.15

54%

BTTS No

1.87

Clean Sheet

39%

NAC Breda

2.58

27%

Willem II

3.75

Win to Nil

17%

NAC Breda

5.91

7%

Willem II

14.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.3 9.8 4.6 1.5 0.3 0.1
1 13.7 13.0 6.1 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.0 8.6 4.1 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 4.0 3.8 1.8 0.6 0.1
4 1.3 1.2 0.6 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.321
λ Away (xG) 0.948
Total xG 2.269
League avg home goals 1.601
League avg away goals 1.326
NAC Breda attack strength 0.725
NAC Breda defence strength 1.134
Willem II attack strength 0.630
Willem II defence strength 1.138
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 33 / 33