Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sat 6 Dec 2025

15:30

Venue

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PSV Eindhoven Win

22%

Heerenveen

4.50

18%

Draw

5.48

60%

PSV Eindhoven

1.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

8.3%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 3

7.1%

Away win

1 – 1

6.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

Heerenveen xG

Total xG

4.12

2.57

PSV Eindhoven xG

22%
18%
60%
HeerenveenDrawPSV Eindhoven

4.50

22%

Home win

5.48

18%

Draw

1.68

60%

Away win

Goals Markets

92%

Over 1.5

1.09

8%

Under 1.5

12.50

78%

Over 2.5

1.28

22%

Under 2.5

4.55

59%

Over 3.5

1.69

41%

Under 3.5

2.44

39%

Over 4.5

2.56

61%

Under 4.5

1.64

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

73%

BTTS Yes

1.37

27%

BTTS No

3.68

Clean Sheet

8%

Heerenveen

13.03

21%

PSV Eindhoven

4.73

Win to Nil

2%

Heerenveen

58.65

13%

PSV Eindhoven

7.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.6 4.2 5.3 4.6 2.9 1.5
1 2.5 6.5 8.3 7.1 4.6 2.3
2 2.0 5.0 6.5 5.5 3.5 1.8
3 1.0 2.6 3.3 2.9 1.8 0.9
4 0.4 1.0 1.3 1.1 0.7 0.4
5 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.554
λ Away (xG) 2.567
Total xG 4.121
League avg home goals 1.723
League avg away goals 1.420
Heerenveen attack strength 1.193
Heerenveen defence strength 1.103
PSV Eindhoven attack strength 1.640
PSV Eindhoven defence strength 0.756
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48