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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
AZ Alkmaar Win
29%
3.39
24%
4.14
46%
2.16
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.3%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
9.3%
Away win
0 – 1
8.9%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.27
Heerenveen xG
Total xG
2.93
1.65
AZ Alkmaar xG
HeerenveenDrawAZ Alkmaar
3.39
29%
Home win
4.14
24%
Draw
2.16
46%
Away win
Goals Markets
79%
Over 1.5
1.27
21%
Under 1.5
4.76
56%
Over 2.5
1.79
44%
Under 2.5
2.27
34%
Over 3.5
2.94
66%
Under 3.5
1.52
17%
Over 4.5
5.88
83%
Under 4.5
1.20
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
58%
BTTS Yes
1.72
42%
BTTS No
2.39
Clean Sheet
19%
5.23
28%
3.57
Win to Nil
6%
17.74
13%
7.69
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.4 | 8.9 | 7.3 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| 1 | 6.8 | 11.3 | 9.3 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| 2 | 4.3 | 7.2 | 5.9 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.272
λ Away (xG)
1.654
Total xG
2.926
League avg home goals
1.722
League avg away goals
1.458
Heerenveen attack strength
1.079
Heerenveen defence strength
1.138
AZ Alkmaar attack strength
0.997
AZ Alkmaar defence strength
0.684
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
46 / 46