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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Thu 23 Apr 2026

17:45

Venue

De Adelaarshorst

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

GO Ahead Eagles Win

63%

GO Ahead Eagles

1.60

23%

Draw

4.44

15%

AZ Alkmaar

6.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.5%

Home win

1 – 1

8.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.35

GO Ahead Eagles xG

Total xG

3.48

1.13

AZ Alkmaar xG

63%
23%
15%
GO Ahead EaglesDrawAZ Alkmaar

1.60

63%

Home win

4.44

23%

Draw

6.68

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.72

Clean Sheet

32%

GO Ahead Eagles

3.10

10%

AZ Alkmaar

10.46

Win to Nil

20%

GO Ahead Eagles

4.96

1%

AZ Alkmaar

69.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 3.5 2.0 0.7 0.2
1 7.2 8.2 4.6 1.7 0.5 0.1
2 8.5 9.6 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 6.7 7.5 4.3 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 3.9 4.4 2.5 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 1.8 2.1 1.2 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.348
λ Away (xG) 1.131
Total xG 3.479
League avg home goals 1.709
League avg away goals 1.293
GO Ahead Eagles attack strength 1.302
GO Ahead Eagles defence strength 1.011
AZ Alkmaar attack strength 0.865
AZ Alkmaar defence strength 1.056
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64