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Fortuna Sittard vs Waalwijk – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 14 Dec 2024

19:00

Venue

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fortuna Sittard Win

53%

Fortuna Sittard

1.88

23%

Draw

4.36

24%

Waalwijk

4.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

Fortuna Sittard xG

Total xG

2.97

1.15

Waalwijk xG

53%
23%
24%
Fortuna SittardDrawWaalwijk

1.88

53%

Home win

4.36

23%

Draw

4.19

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.34

Clean Sheet

32%

Fortuna Sittard

3.15

16%

Waalwijk

6.20

Win to Nil

17%

Fortuna Sittard

5.92

4%

Waalwijk

25.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 5.9 3.4 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 9.3 10.7 6.2 2.4 0.7 0.2
2 8.5 9.8 5.6 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 5.2 5.9 3.4 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 2.4 2.7 1.6 0.6 0.2
5 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.824
λ Away (xG) 1.148
Total xG 2.972
League avg home goals 1.673
League avg away goals 1.267
Fortuna Sittard attack strength 0.860
Fortuna Sittard defence strength 0.931
Waalwijk attack strength 0.973
Waalwijk defence strength 1.268
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49