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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 3 May 2026

13:30

Venue

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Feyenoord Win

29%

Fortuna Sittard

3.46

31%

Draw

3.19

40%

Feyenoord

2.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

0 – 1

8.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Fortuna Sittard xG

Total xG

2.92

1.58

Feyenoord xG

29%
31%
40%
Fortuna SittardDrawFeyenoord

3.46

29%

Home win

3.19

31%

Draw

2.52

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.63

Clean Sheet

21%

Fortuna Sittard

4.86

26%

Feyenoord

3.80

Win to Nil

6%

Fortuna Sittard

16.82

10%

Feyenoord

9.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 8.6 6.8 3.6 1.4 0.4
1 7.2 11.4 9.0 4.8 1.9 0.6
2 4.8 7.6 6.0 3.2 1.3 0.4
3 2.1 3.4 2.7 1.4 0.6 0.2
4 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.336
λ Away (xG) 1.581
Total xG 2.917
League avg home goals 1.709
League avg away goals 1.285
Fortuna Sittard attack strength 0.886
Fortuna Sittard defence strength 1.264
Feyenoord attack strength 0.974
Feyenoord defence strength 0.882
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65