FC Volendam 0-0 Feyenoord – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Feyenoord at 37% — the head-to-head data provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this FC Volendam vs Feyenoord encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
Feyenoord travel to Kras Stadion to take on FC Volendam in Eredivisie (matchday 29). The game is scheduled for Sunday 5 April 2026 at 14:30 UK time.
Form Analysis
Looking at their last 10 matches, FC Volendam stand at 4W 1D 5L — 1.30 PPG. Last five: L W L L L. They are averaging 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.60 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets.
FC Volendam's home record over their last 10 home games: 5W 2D 3L (1.70 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 80% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture.
Feyenoord — last 10 games: 5W 2D 3L — 1.70 PPG. Last five: W L D W D. They are scoring at 1.70 per game and conceding 1.70. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings (20%). Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market.
Feyenoord's form when playing away from home: 4W 2D 4L across their last 10 road games (1.40 PPG). Away from home they average 1.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game.
The form comparison is too close to call — 1.30 PPG (FC Volendam) versus 1.70 (Feyenoord). When the figures are this level, no pick can be reliably derived from recent results alone.
H2H
Despite the home advantage, Feyenoord have the better record in our head-to-head data — 4 wins from 5 H2H matches against 0 for FC Volendam.
The 5 H2H matches in our data averaged 2.6 goals per game — a neutral rate that gives no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent of those, on 1 Nov 2025, ended FC Volendam 1–3 Feyenoord — a Feyenoord win.
Feyenoord have the better head-to-head record despite being the visitors — 4 wins from 5 H2H matches. Home advantage alone is not a reason to dismiss that.
Trading Patterns
FC Volendam in-play and half-time data (last 62 games, 30 of them at home): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 77% of their matches in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 91% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 64% of those occasions; of the 21 games they trailed at half-time, they recovered to draw or win 33%; BTTS occurs in 73% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 80% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 39%.
Feyenoord in-play and half-time data (last 62 games, 30 of them away): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 90% of their matches in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 71% of the time; they lead at the break 53% of the time; of the 17 games they trailed at half-time, they recovered to draw or win 41%; BTTS occurs in 57% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 60% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 40%.
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — FC Volendam 63% and Feyenoord 61% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. Over 2.5 goals is well-supported by both sides' in-play profiles (FC Volendam 71% | Feyenoord 61%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects FC Volendam 1.60 xG and Feyenoord 1.61 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: FC Volendam attack 0.930 / defence 1.094 | Feyenoord attack 1.114 / defence 0.998. League average goals — home 1.726 / away 1.320. Data: built from FC Volendam's last 28 games and Feyenoord's last 62.
Result probabilities: FC Volendam 37% | Draw 26% | Feyenoord 37%. Fair-value odds: FC Volendam 2.72 | Draw 3.82 | Feyenoord 2.70. The model can't separate the sides — both are rated at 37% to win, with the draw at 26%. There is no result lean here.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 62% | BTTS Yes probability 65% | Total xG 3.21. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 62% — the 3.21 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS Yes at 65% — both xG figures (1.60 / 1.61) are high enough that each side is projected to find the net.
Analysis Verdict
The Poisson model can't separate the sides — FC Volendam 37% and Feyenoord 37%, with the draw at 26%. There is no result lean from the model; the goals and BTTS markets below are where it has a view.
On the goals line, Poisson's 3.21 combined xG gives a 62% probability to Over 2.5 — reasonable conviction, supported by recent form (FC Volendam's last 10 home games and Feyenoord's last 10 away games) averaging 3.1 goals per game.
Poisson assigns a 65% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate — both teams scored in: FC Volendam 80% (last 10 home games) | Feyenoord 40% (last 10 away games).
🔮 Your Prediction
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: FC Volendam vs Feyenoord | Competition: Eredivisie, matchday 29 | Venue: Kras Stadion • Kick-off: Sunday 5 April 2026 at 14:30 UK time • Data inputs: head-to-head data, recent form (overall and home/away), the Poisson prediction model and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: FC Volendam 37% | Draw 26% | Feyenoord 37% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 62% (Under 38%) | BTTS Yes 65% (No 35%) | xG FC Volendam 1.60 / Feyenoord 1.61 • Poisson strength factors: FC Volendam attack 0.930 / def 1.094 | Feyenoord attack 1.114 / def 0.998 | league avg home 1.726 / away 1.320 • Poisson stance: no clear lean — FC Volendam and Feyenoord level at 37% — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.60
FC Volendam xG
Expected Goals
1.61
Feyenoord xG
65%
BTTS
84%
Over 1.5
62%
Over 2.5
40%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ FC Volendam vs Feyenoord FAQs
What time does FC Volendam vs Feyenoord kick off?
FC Volendam vs Feyenoord kicked off at 14:30 UK time on Sunday 5 April 2026 at Kras Stadion.
What was the final score in FC Volendam vs Feyenoord?
FC Volendam 0 - 0 Feyenoord.
Where is FC Volendam vs Feyenoord being played?
The match is being played at Kras Stadion.
What competition is FC Volendam vs Feyenoord part of?
FC Volendam vs Feyenoord is a Eredivisie fixture (matchday 29) (Netherlands).
Who is favourite to win FC Volendam vs Feyenoord?
Our statistical model gives FC Volendam a 37% chance of winning, Feyenoord a 37% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw, making this a very evenly-matched fixture.
Will both teams score in FC Volendam vs Feyenoord?
Our model estimates a 65% probability that both FC Volendam and Feyenoord will score, so it leans towards BTTS Yes.
Will FC Volendam vs Feyenoord have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 62%, so it leans towards over 2.5 goals.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
Working from FC Volendam's attack rating (0.93) and Feyenoord's defence rating (1.00), the model arrives at 1.60 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, Feyenoord's attack versus FC Volendam's defence, projects 1.61 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from FC Volendam's last 28 games and Feyenoord's last 62 — a full enough recent sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 11.7%. Close behind: 1-2 (8.4%), 2-1 (8.3%). Together the top three scorelines make up 28% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Feyenoord Win
37%
2.72
26%
3.82
37%
2.70
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.4%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
8.4%
Away win
2 – 1
8.3%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.60
FC Volendam xG
Total xG
3.21
1.61
Feyenoord xG
2.72
37%
Home win
3.82
26%
Draw
2.70
37%
Away win
Goals Markets
83%
Over 1.5
1.20
17%
Under 1.5
5.88
62%
Over 2.5
1.61
38%
Under 2.5
2.63
40%
Over 3.5
2.50
60%
Under 3.5
1.67
22%
Over 4.5
4.55
78%
Under 4.5
1.28
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
65%
BTTS Yes
1.53
35%
BTTS No
2.88
Clean Sheet
20%
5.00
20%
4.96
Win to Nil
7%
13.60
7%
13.40
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.0 | 6.5 | 5.2 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 6.5 | 10.4 | 8.4 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 5.2 | 8.3 | 6.7 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 2.8 | 4.4 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ FC Volendam vs Feyenoord Prediction FAQs
What is the most likely scoreline for FC Volendam vs Feyenoord?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 11.7%.
How many goals are FC Volendam and Feyenoord expected to score?
The model projects 1.60 expected goals for FC Volendam and 1.61 for Feyenoord, a combined total of 3.21.
How confident is the prediction model for FC Volendam vs Feyenoord?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 37%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
FC Volendam's recent record stands at 32W 10D 20L from 62 games, a 1.71 PPG return, with L-W-L-L-L in the last five.
Feyenoord, meanwhile, have gone 36W 13D 13L across 62 games — 1.95 PPG, with W-L-D-W-D in their last five.
Form-wise this is close to level: FC Volendam on 1.71 PPG, Feyenoord on 1.95. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Home Ground vs the Road
At home specifically, FC Volendam have managed 19W 4D 7L from their last 30 home games — 2.03 PPG in front of their own supporters.
Feyenoord's away record stands at 15W 8D 7L across their last 30 away games, a 1.77 PPG haul.
The Goals Picture
FC Volendam are averaging 1.76 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game recently; Feyenoord are on 2.21 scored and 1.26 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: FC Volendam have seen both teams score in 63% of their recent games; Feyenoord in 61%.
Last 62 Results
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
FC Volendam
Current Season
Feyenoord
Current Season
FC Volendam (Home) vs Feyenoord (Away)
Home games only for the home side · Away games only for the away side
FC Volendam
Current Season
Feyenoord
Current Season
❓ FC Volendam vs Feyenoord Form FAQs
What form are FC Volendam and Feyenoord in coming into this match?
FC Volendam have gone 32W 10D 20L in their last 62 games (1.71 PPG), while Feyenoord have gone 36W 13D 13L in their last 62 (1.95 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — FC Volendam at home or Feyenoord away?
FC Volendam's home record (2.03 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — FC Volendam at home: 2.03 PPG; Feyenoord away: 1.77 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The head-to-head numbers here are drawn from the 6 H2H matches in our data, going back to November 2022. All of them came in Eredivisie. The most recent was on 5 April 2026, roughly 7 months ago.
Digging Into the Numbers
FC Volendam's record when hosting Feyenoord specifically: 0W 2D 1L from 3 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 6 Meetings
0
FC Volendam
2
Draws
4
Feyenoord
Recent Meetings
❓ FC Volendam vs Feyenoord H2H FAQs
What is the head-to-head record between FC Volendam and Feyenoord?
Across the 6 head-to-head matches in our data, FC Volendam have won 0, Feyenoord have won 4, and 2 have been drawn.
When did FC Volendam and Feyenoord last play each other?
The most recent meeting in our data was on 5 April 2026: FC Volendam 0-0 Feyenoord.
Who has won more matches between FC Volendam and Feyenoord?
Feyenoord have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from the 6 head-to-head matches in our data.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
FC Volendam are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 77% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 33% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 20% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 50% of those situations.
Feyenoord are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 90% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 50% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 20% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 30% of those situations.
The Numbers That Matter
Both teams scoring has been the norm for this pairing lately — FC Volendam at 73%, Feyenoord at 57%. That combined rate makes BTTS Yes a well-supported trading angle.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 80% for FC Volendam and 60% for Feyenoord. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 43% and 40% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = FC Volendam home games / Feyenoord away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ FC Volendam vs Feyenoord Trading FAQs
Do both teams usually score in FC Volendam and Feyenoord matches?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 73% of FC Volendam's games and 57% of Feyenoord's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Are FC Volendam and Feyenoord matches usually high-scoring?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 80% of FC Volendam's matches and 60% of Feyenoord's.
Do FC Volendam and Feyenoord matches tend to have early goals?
There has been at least one first-half goal in 77% of FC Volendam's recent matches and 90% of Feyenoord's — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at FC Volendam's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
FC Volendam and Feyenoord finished level at 0-0 at Kras Stadion, Regular Season - 29, in the Eredivisie. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Volendam 1.60 xG and Feyenoord 1.61 xG, a combined 3.21. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. FC Volendam fell 1.6 short of their projected output. Feyenoord landed 1.6 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Volendam attack 0.93 / defence 1.09 against Feyenoord attack 1.11 / defence 1.00, drawn from 28/62 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it FC Volendam 37% | Draw 26% | Feyenoord 37%, with FC Volendam to win its most likely call at 37%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 26%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 62%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 84% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 65% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 66% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (FC Volendam 71%, Feyenoord 61%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 62%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
FC Volendam's trading profile (62 games, 30 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 63% of their matches — today it did not.
Feyenoord's trading profile (62 games, 30 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 61% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — FC Volendam 1.71 PPG, Feyenoord 1.95 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. FC Volendam (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 2.23 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.27 average — tighter than their form line. Feyenoord (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 2.13 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.30 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.
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