🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Utrecht Win
17%
5.90
30%
3.35
53%
1.88
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
11.7%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
11.1%
Draw
0 – 2
10.3%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.95
Excelsior xG
Total xG
2.71
1.76
Utrecht xG
ExcelsiorDrawUtrecht
5.90
17%
Home win
3.35
30%
Draw
1.88
53%
Away win
Goals Markets
75%
Over 1.5
1.33
25%
Under 1.5
4.00
51%
Over 2.5
1.96
49%
Under 2.5
2.04
29%
Over 3.5
3.45
71%
Under 3.5
1.41
14%
Over 4.5
7.14
86%
Under 4.5
1.16
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
54%
BTTS Yes
1.85
46%
BTTS No
2.18
Clean Sheet
17%
5.82
39%
2.59
Win to Nil
3%
34.38
21%
4.86
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.6 | 11.7 | 10.3 | 6.0 | 2.7 | 0.9 |
| 1 | 6.3 | 11.1 | 9.8 | 5.8 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| 2 | 3.0 | 5.3 | 4.7 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.951
λ Away (xG)
1.762
Total xG
2.713
League avg home goals
1.705
League avg away goals
1.271
Excelsior attack strength
0.634
Excelsior defence strength
1.203
Utrecht attack strength
1.152
Utrecht defence strength
0.880
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
30 / 64