Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 4 Apr 2026

20:00

Venue

Stadion Woudestein

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

NEC Nijmegen Win

17%

Excelsior

5.96

22%

Draw

4.52

61%

NEC Nijmegen

1.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

9.0%

Away win

1 – 1

9.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.09

Excelsior xG

Total xG

3.28

2.19

NEC Nijmegen xG

17%
22%
61%
ExcelsiorDrawNEC Nijmegen

5.96

17%

Home win

4.52

22%

Draw

1.64

61%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.51

Clean Sheet

11%

Excelsior

8.89

34%

NEC Nijmegen

2.97

Win to Nil

2%

Excelsior

53.02

21%

NEC Nijmegen

4.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 8.3 9.0 6.6 3.6 1.6
1 4.1 9.0 9.8 7.2 3.9 1.7
2 2.2 4.9 5.4 3.9 2.1 0.9
3 0.8 1.8 1.9 1.4 0.8 0.3
4 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.090
λ Away (xG) 2.185
Total xG 3.275
League avg home goals 1.723
League avg away goals 1.328
Excelsior attack strength 0.675
Excelsior defence strength 1.176
NEC Nijmegen attack strength 1.399
NEC Nijmegen defence strength 0.938
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 28 / 62