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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
PSV Eindhoven Win
34%
2.99
19%
5.18
47%
2.12
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 2
7.1%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
7.0%
Away win
2 – 1
5.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.03
AZ Alkmaar xG
Total xG
4.43
2.40
PSV Eindhoven xG
AZ AlkmaarDrawPSV Eindhoven
2.99
34%
Home win
5.18
19%
Draw
2.12
47%
Away win
Goals Markets
94%
Over 1.5
1.06
6%
Under 1.5
16.67
82%
Over 2.5
1.22
18%
Under 2.5
5.56
65%
Over 3.5
1.54
35%
Under 3.5
2.86
45%
Over 4.5
2.22
55%
Under 4.5
1.82
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
79%
BTTS Yes
1.27
21%
BTTS No
4.76
Clean Sheet
9%
11.05
13%
7.60
Win to Nil
3%
32.97
6%
16.11
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.2 | 2.9 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| 1 | 2.4 | 5.8 | 7.0 | 5.6 | 3.4 | 1.6 |
| 2 | 2.5 | 5.9 | 7.1 | 5.7 | 3.4 | 1.6 |
| 3 | 1.7 | 4.0 | 4.8 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| 4 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.028
λ Away (xG)
2.402
Total xG
4.430
League avg home goals
1.742
League avg away goals
1.458
AZ Alkmaar attack strength
1.326
AZ Alkmaar defence strength
1.001
PSV Eindhoven attack strength
1.645
PSV Eindhoven defence strength
0.878
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
45 / 45