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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
AZ Alkmaar Win
55%
1.83
20%
4.94
25%
3.99
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.0%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
8.1%
Draw
3 – 1
6.7%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.23
AZ Alkmaar xG
Total xG
3.70
1.47
PEC Zwolle xG
AZ AlkmaarDrawPEC Zwolle
1.83
55%
Home win
4.94
20%
Draw
3.99
25%
Away win
Goals Markets
88%
Over 1.5
1.14
12%
Under 1.5
8.33
71%
Over 2.5
1.41
29%
Under 2.5
3.45
51%
Over 3.5
1.96
49%
Under 3.5
2.04
31%
Over 4.5
3.23
69%
Under 4.5
1.45
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
69%
BTTS Yes
1.46
31%
BTTS No
3.20
Clean Sheet
23%
4.35
11%
9.26
Win to Nil
13%
7.96
3%
36.93
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.5 | 3.6 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 5.5 | 8.1 | 6.0 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.1 | 9.0 | 6.6 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 4.6 | 6.7 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 2.5 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.226
λ Away (xG)
1.471
Total xG
3.697
League avg home goals
1.648
League avg away goals
1.438
AZ Alkmaar attack strength
1.288
AZ Alkmaar defence strength
1.028
PEC Zwolle attack strength
0.995
PEC Zwolle defence strength
1.049
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
39 / 39