🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
NEC Nijmegen Win
35%
2.89
20%
4.95
45%
2.21
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 2
7.5%
Away win
Most likely
2 – 2
7.2%
Draw
1 – 1
6.9%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.92
AZ Alkmaar xG
Total xG
4.12
2.20
NEC Nijmegen xG
AZ AlkmaarDrawNEC Nijmegen
2.89
35%
Home win
4.95
20%
Draw
2.21
45%
Away win
Goals Markets
92%
Over 1.5
1.09
8%
Under 1.5
12.50
78%
Over 2.5
1.28
22%
Under 2.5
4.55
59%
Over 3.5
1.69
41%
Under 3.5
2.44
39%
Over 4.5
2.56
61%
Under 4.5
1.64
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
76%
BTTS Yes
1.32
24%
BTTS No
4.15
Clean Sheet
11%
9.02
15%
6.83
Win to Nil
4%
26.04
7%
15.12
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.6 | 3.6 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| 1 | 3.1 | 6.9 | 7.5 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 1.3 |
| 2 | 3.0 | 6.6 | 7.2 | 5.3 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| 3 | 1.9 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.921
λ Away (xG)
2.199
Total xG
4.120
League avg home goals
1.620
League avg away goals
1.462
AZ Alkmaar attack strength
1.016
AZ Alkmaar defence strength
1.107
NEC Nijmegen attack strength
1.359
NEC Nijmegen defence strength
1.167
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
54 / 53