🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
AZ Alkmaar Win
61%
1.63
19%
5.39
20%
5.01
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.1%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
7.4%
Draw
3 – 1
7.4%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.45
AZ Alkmaar xG
Total xG
3.80
1.35
Excelsior xG
AZ AlkmaarDrawExcelsior
1.63
61%
Home win
5.39
19%
Draw
5.01
20%
Away win
Goals Markets
89%
Over 1.5
1.12
11%
Under 1.5
9.09
73%
Over 2.5
1.37
27%
Under 2.5
3.70
53%
Over 3.5
1.89
47%
Under 3.5
2.13
33%
Over 4.5
3.03
67%
Under 4.5
1.49
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
68%
BTTS Yes
1.48
32%
BTTS No
3.10
Clean Sheet
26%
3.87
9%
11.54
Win to Nil
16%
6.29
2%
57.83
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 5.5 | 7.4 | 5.0 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 6.7 | 9.1 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 5.5 | 7.4 | 5.0 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 3.3 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.446
λ Away (xG)
1.353
Total xG
3.799
League avg home goals
1.690
League avg away goals
1.467
AZ Alkmaar attack strength
1.080
AZ Alkmaar defence strength
1.123
Excelsior attack strength
0.822
Excelsior defence strength
1.341
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
52 / 18