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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sun 18 May 2025

13:30

Venue

AFAS Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AZ Alkmaar Win

53%

AZ Alkmaar

1.89

29%

Draw

3.48

18%

Almere City FC

5.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

2 – 0

11.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

AZ Alkmaar xG

Total xG

2.34

0.81

Almere City FC xG

53%
29%
18%
AZ AlkmaarDrawAlmere City FC

1.89

53%

Home win

3.48

29%

Draw

5.43

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.23

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

45%

AZ Alkmaar

2.25

22%

Almere City FC

4.60

Win to Nil

24%

AZ Alkmaar

4.25

4%

Almere City FC

25.00

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7 7.8 3.2 0.9 0.2
1 14.8 11.9 4.8 1.3 0.3
2 11.3 9.1 3.7 1.0 0.2
3 5.7 4.6 1.9 0.5 0.1
4 2.2 1.8 0.7 0.2
5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.527
λ Away (xG) 0.809
Total xG 2.336
League avg home goals 1.601
League avg away goals 1.326
AZ Alkmaar attack strength 0.939
AZ Alkmaar defence strength 0.830
Almere City FC attack strength 0.735
Almere City FC defence strength 1.016
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67