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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Ajax Win
48%
2.10
21%
4.69
31%
3.22
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
8.7%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
8.5%
Draw
2 – 2
7.0%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.04
Ajax xG
Total xG
3.66
1.62
NEC Nijmegen xG
AjaxDrawNEC Nijmegen
2.10
48%
Home win
4.69
21%
Draw
3.22
31%
Away win
Goals Markets
88%
Over 1.5
1.14
12%
Under 1.5
8.33
71%
Over 2.5
1.41
29%
Under 2.5
3.45
50%
Over 3.5
2.00
50%
Under 3.5
2.00
30%
Over 4.5
3.33
70%
Under 4.5
1.43
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
70%
BTTS Yes
1.43
30%
BTTS No
3.30
Clean Sheet
20%
5.05
13%
7.66
Win to Nil
9%
10.60
4%
24.69
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.6 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 5.3 | 8.5 | 6.9 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 5.4 | 8.7 | 7.0 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 3.6 | 5.9 | 4.8 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.036
λ Away (xG)
1.620
Total xG
3.656
League avg home goals
1.630
League avg away goals
1.405
Ajax attack strength
1.151
Ajax defence strength
0.844
NEC Nijmegen attack strength
1.366
NEC Nijmegen defence strength
1.085
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
57 / 57