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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 8 Feb 2026

13:30

Venue

Koning Willem II Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Waalwijk Win

32%

Willem II

3.13

29%

Draw

3.42

39%

Waalwijk

2.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.6%

Away win

1 – 2

8.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Willem II xG

Total xG

2.69

1.42

Waalwijk xG

32%
29%
39%
Willem IIDrawWaalwijk

3.13

32%

Home win

3.42

29%

Draw

2.58

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.29

Clean Sheet

24%

Willem II

4.14

28%

Waalwijk

3.56

Win to Nil

8%

Willem II

12.94

11%

Waalwijk

9.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 9.6 6.8 3.2 1.1 0.3
1 8.6 12.2 8.7 4.1 1.5 0.4
2 5.5 7.8 5.5 2.6 0.9 0.3
3 2.3 3.3 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.271
λ Away (xG) 1.420
Total xG 2.691
League avg home goals 1.763
League avg away goals 1.503
Willem II attack strength 0.764
Willem II defence strength 0.890
Waalwijk attack strength 1.062
Waalwijk defence strength 0.945
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 24 / 25