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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 15 Nov 2025

20:00

Venue

Koning Willem II Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Willem II Win

37%

Willem II

2.70

26%

Draw

3.79

37%

Emmen

2.73

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

0 – 1

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Willem II xG

Total xG

2.60

1.30

Emmen xG

37%
26%
37%
Willem IIDrawEmmen

2.70

37%

Home win

3.79

26%

Draw

2.73

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

27%

Willem II

3.66

27%

Emmen

3.69

Win to Nil

10%

Willem II

9.88

10%

Emmen

10.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 9.6 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.2
1 9.7 12.5 8.1 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 6.3 8.2 5.3 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 2.7 3.6 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.306
λ Away (xG) 1.297
Total xG 2.603
League avg home goals 1.724
League avg away goals 1.470
Willem II attack strength 0.713
Willem II defence strength 1.022
Emmen attack strength 0.863
Emmen defence strength 1.062
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 15 / 53