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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Sun 12 Apr 2026

15:45

Venue

Koning Willem II Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Almere City FC Win

36%

Willem II

2.75

26%

Draw

3.90

38%

Almere City FC

2.63

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

1 – 0

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.35

Willem II xG

Total xG

2.73

1.38

Almere City FC xG

36%
26%
38%
Willem IIDrawAlmere City FC

2.75

36%

Home win

3.90

26%

Draw

2.63

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

25%

Willem II

3.98

26%

Almere City FC

3.84

Win to Nil

9%

Willem II

10.96

10%

Almere City FC

10.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 9.0 6.2 2.9 1.0 0.3
1 8.8 12.2 8.4 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 5.9 8.2 5.7 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 2.7 3.7 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.9 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.346
λ Away (xG) 1.382
Total xG 2.728
League avg home goals 1.622
League avg away goals 1.471
Willem II attack strength 0.743
Willem II defence strength 0.770
Almere City FC attack strength 1.220
Almere City FC defence strength 1.116
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 35 / 35