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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Fri 17 Oct 2025

17:30

Venue

Mandemakers Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Waalwijk Win

38%

Waalwijk

2.61

26%

Draw

3.86

36%

Willem II

2.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

Waalwijk xG

Total xG

2.69

1.31

Willem II xG

38%
26%
36%
WaalwijkDrawWillem II

2.61

38%

Home win

3.86

26%

Draw

2.79

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.20

Clean Sheet

27%

Waalwijk

3.72

25%

Willem II

3.94

Win to Nil

10%

Waalwijk

9.72

9%

Willem II

11.00

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 9.0 5.9 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 9.3 12.3 8.1 3.5 1.2 0.3
2 6.4 8.4 5.5 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 2.9 3.8 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 1.0 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.370
λ Away (xG) 1.315
Total xG 2.685
League avg home goals 1.753
League avg away goals 1.386
Waalwijk attack strength 0.806
Waalwijk defence strength 1.017
Willem II attack strength 0.934
Willem II defence strength 0.970
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 10 / 10